AC Milan vs Sunderland prediction

AC Milan
vs
Sunderland
52%
Model pickWatch Only
AC Milan win

The model favours AC Milan win at 52%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

AC Milan52%
Draw28%
Sunderland20%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.48 – 0.87
Both score46%
Over 2.5 goals42%

Match analysis

The model forecasts an AC Milan win despite their poor league standing and recent form (LWLL, 1 win in 4 matches, 3 failed to score). Sunderland has a better league position and stronger form (WWDL, 2 wins in 4 matches), which complicates the forecast for an AC Milan victory. However, the expected goals heavily favor AC Milan (1.48 vs 0.87), supporting the predicted outcome.

AC Milan

AC Milan's recent form is poor, with three losses and only one win in their last four matches. They have struggled to score, failing to find the net in three of their four games.

Sunderland

Sunderland shows better form, with two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four outings. They have a balanced goal record, scoring and conceding an average of one goal per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Form & table

Sunderland11th, 7 ptsLDWW
AC Milan28th, 3 ptsLLWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Benfica 4400 133 +1012 WWWW
2 Bournemouth 4400 112 +912 WWWW
3 Ferencvarosi TC 4400 113 +812 WWWW
4 Union St. Gilloise 4310 102 +810 WWDW
5 Juventus 4310 114 +710 WDWW
6 Olympiakos Piraeus 4310 41 +310 DWWW
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4301 81 +79 LWWW
8 Beşiktaş 4211 118 +37 LDWW
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4211 54 +17 WLWD
10 Levski Sofia 4211 43 +17 WWDL
11 Sunderland 4211 44 07 LDWW
12 NEC Nijmegen 4211 89 -17 WWDL
13 Lyon 4211 67 -17 DLWW
14 AZ Alkmaar 4202 74 +36 LWWL
15 Anderlecht 4202 63 +36 WWLL
16 OFI 4202 54 +16 WLLW
17 Rennes 4130 43 +16 DDWD
18 Omonia Nicosia 4202 67 -16 LLWW
19 Torreense 4202 79 -26 WLLW
20 Real Sociedad 4121 94 +55 DWDL
21 Crystal Palace 4121 96 +35 DDLW
22 Sparta Praha 4112 66 04 LLDW
23 1899 Hoffenheim 4112 66 04 DWLL
24 Sturm Graz 4112 36 -34 LWLD
25 Celje 4112 59 -44 WDLL
26 Red Bull Salzburg 4112 38 -54 LDLW
27 Celta Vigo 4103 46 -23 LWLL
28 AC Milan 4103 47 -33 LLWL
29 Jagiellonia 4103 47 -33 LLWL
30 Plzen 4103 37 -43 WLLL
31 Marseille 4103 26 -43 WLLL
32 Celtic 4103 611 -53 WLLL
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4013 18 -71 LLLD
34 Lillestrom 4013 210 -81 LLDL
35 Lech Poznan 4013 212 -101 LDLL
36 Ararat-Armenia 4004 414 -100 LLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation