Football Match Analysis

Live model output, the weekly performance report, and plain-English guides to how the numbers work.

Live Match Intelligence

438 upcoming predictions: 105 Recommended, 134 Watch-Only, 199 No-Pick.

Every Monday: how last week's verified predictions performed, and what is coming up.

The first report is published on the first Monday after results have settled.

Understand the models, metrics, and decision rules behind UTABIRI predictions.

The mathematical foundations of our prediction engine and how it builds on the traditional Poisson approach.

Essential metrics every football fan should understand: xG, pressing, field tilt, and why shot counts can mislead.

Why chance quality often predicts future performance better than goals scored, and what variance and regression to the mean mean in football.

What home advantage looks like across European football and how our model accounts for it.

The mathematical challenge of predicting draws and why our model treats them with extra caution.