AEK Athens FC vs Galatasaray prediction

AEK Athens FC

Tue 8 Dec, 20:00 UTC Allwyn Arena, Athens

Galatasaray

50%

Model pickNo Pick

AEK Athens FC win

The model favours AEK Athens FC win at 50%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

AEK Athens FC50%

Draw24%

Galatasaray26%

Likely score2-1

Expected goals1.83 – 1.33

Both score62%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Match analysis

The forecast for an AEK Athens FC win is supported by the model's higher expected goals for the home side (1.83 vs 1.33) and their better clean sheet record. However, Galatasaray's superior league standing and higher average goals scored per match complicate this prediction. Head-to-head data is unavailable, offering no additional insights.

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC's recent form is mixed with two wins, one draw, and three losses from six matches. They have scored 9 goals while conceding 11, keeping three clean sheets.

Galatasaray

Galatasaray's form shows two wins and two losses from four matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 9. They have not failed to score in any of their games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Form & table

Galatasaray18th, 6 ptsWWLL

AEK Athens FC29th, 3 ptsLLLW

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12	WWWW
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12	WWWW
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10	WDWW
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9	WWLW
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9	WLWW
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9	LWWW
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9	WWLW
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9	LWWW
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9	WWWL
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9	WLWW
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9	LWWW
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9	WWLW
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8	WDDW
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7	LDWW
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6	WWLL
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6	WWLL
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	WLLW
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6	WWLL
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5	WDLD
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4	LWLD
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4	LLWD
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4	WLDL
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LDWL
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4	LWLD
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DLWL
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3	WLLL
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	LWLL
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3	LLWL
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLWL
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3	LLWL
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3	LLWL
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3	LLLW
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1	LDLL
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1	DLLL
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
50%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
24%
Draw riskmax 30%
24%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.37

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is No Pick. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeSun 8 Nov, 00:40 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffTue 8 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4