AS Roma vs Sporting CP prediction

AS Roma

Tue 8 Dec, 20:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Sporting CP

46%

Model pickNo Pick

AS Roma win

The model favours AS Roma win at 46%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

AS Roma46%

Draw25%

Sporting CP29%

Likely score2-1

Expected goals1.78 – 1.43

Both score64%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Match analysis

The forecast for an AS Roma win is supported by their higher goals scored average this season (2.5 per match) compared to Sporting CP (2.0 per match). However, Sporting CP's superior league standing, better recent form (WWLW vs DLWL), and stronger defensive record (4 goals conceded vs 8) complicate this prediction. The single head-to-head match from 2022 is limited data for current form.

AS Roma

AS Roma's recent form is mixed with DLWL, securing only one win from four matches. They have shown a strong attacking presence, averaging 2.5 goals per match, but have also conceded an average of 2.0 goals.

Sporting CP

Sporting CP is in strong form, winning three of their last four matches (WWLW) and maintaining a solid defensive record with two clean sheets. They average 2.0 goals scored per match while conceding only 1.0.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

2022-07-19Sporting CP3–2AS Roma

Form & table

Sporting CP10th, 9 ptsWLWW

AS Roma20th, 4 ptsLWLD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12	WWWW
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12	WWWW
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10	WDWW
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9	WWLW
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9	WLWW
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9	LWWW
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9	WWLW
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9	LWWW
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9	WWWL
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9	WLWW
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9	LWWW
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9	WWLW
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8	WDDW
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7	LDWW
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6	WWLL
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6	WWLL
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	WLLW
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6	WWLL
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5	WDLD
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4	LWLD
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4	LLWD
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4	WLDL
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LDWL
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4	LWLD
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DLWL
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3	WLLL
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	LWLL
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3	LLWL
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLWL
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3	LLWL
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3	LLWL
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3	LLLW
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1	LDLL
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1	DLLL
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
46%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
17%
Draw riskmax 30%
25%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.32

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is No Pick. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeSun 8 Nov, 00:40 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffTue 8 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4