Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction
Aston Villa
SunderlandThe model favours Aston Villa win at 65%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecast for an Aston Villa win is strongly supported by their superior league standing, better season statistics in goals scored and conceded, and a favorable head-to-head record against Sunderland. Sunderland's poor form and high goals conceded average further reinforce this prediction, despite Aston Villa's own mixed recent form.
Aston VillaAston Villa's recent form is mixed with LLDLWDWWD, reflecting their even season record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses from 9 matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match.
SunderlandSunderland is in poor form, with LWDLLLLDL, having secured only 1 win and 2 draws in 9 matches this season. They have struggled to score, averaging 0.8 goals per game, and have conceded frequently with an average of 1.9 goals per match.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-19Aston Villa4–3Sunderland
- 2025-09-21Sunderland1–1Aston Villa
- 2018-03-06Sunderland0–3Aston Villa
- 2017-11-21Aston Villa2–1Sunderland
- 2016-01-02Sunderland3–1Aston Villa
Form & table
Aston Villa12th, 12 ptsDWWDWSunderland20th, 5 ptsLDLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
10 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton |
9 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea |
9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool |
9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford |
9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |  Leeds |
10 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bournemouth |
9 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Tottenham |
10 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |  Newcastle |
10 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Aston Villa |
9 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City |
10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich |
9 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham |
10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry |
10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
9 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |  Crystal Palace |
9 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 | Sunderland |
9 | -10 | 5 |