Atalanta vs Genoa prediction

Atalanta
vs
New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Genoa
53%
Model pickWatch Only
Atalanta win

The model favours Atalanta win at 53%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Atalanta53%
Draw27%
Genoa20%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.56 – 0.89
Both score47%
Over 2.5 goals44%

Match analysis

The forecast for an Atalanta win is supported by their strong head-to-head record against Genoa and a higher expected goals projection. While both teams have shown inconsistent form this season, Atalanta's historical dominance in this fixture and slightly better offensive output are notable factors.

Atalanta

Atalanta's recent form is inconsistent, with four wins, two draws, and five losses in 11 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored per match but concede 1.8 goals on average.

Genoa

Genoa has also experienced mixed results, with four wins, one draw, and six losses from 11 games. They score an average of 1.0 goal per match while conceding 1.5 goals.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Atalanta0–0Genoa
  • 2025-12-21Genoa0–1Atalanta
  • 2025-12-03Atalanta4–0Genoa
  • 2025-05-17Genoa2–3Atalanta
  • 2024-10-05Atalanta5–1Genoa

Form & table

Atalanta12th, 14 ptsWLDDL
Genoa13th, 13 ptsLWWWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 Inter 11911 2813 +1528 WLWWW
3 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313 +1024 WWLWW
5 Como 11722 1810 +823 LWWWW
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 11533 1512 +318 DWLWL
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Atalanta 11425 1720 -314 WLDDL
13 Genoa 11416 1116 -513 LWWWL
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 11236 1725 -89 DWDLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 11218 1725 -87 LLLLW
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation