Atalanta vs Inter prediction

Atalanta
vs
New Balance Arena, Bergamo
Inter
51%
Model pickWatch Only
Inter win

The model favours Inter win at 51%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Atalanta24%
Draw25%
Inter51%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.17 – 1.84
Both score59%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Match analysis

The forecast for an Inter win is strongly supported by their superior league standing, excellent season form, and dominant head-to-head record against Atalanta. Inter's higher expected goals further reinforce their advantage in this match.

Atalanta

Atalanta's recent form is inconsistent, with more losses than wins in their last ten matches, and they concede more goals than they score on average.

Inter

Inter is in excellent form this season, having won eight of their ten matches and maintaining a strong positive goal difference.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-14Inter1–1Atalanta
  • 2025-12-28Atalanta0–1Inter
  • 2025-03-16Atalanta0–2Inter
  • 2025-01-02Inter2–0Atalanta
  • 2024-08-30Inter4–0Atalanta

Form & table

Inter3rd, 25 ptsLWWWW
Atalanta13th, 11 ptsLDDLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
3 Inter 10811 2613 +1325 LWWWW
4 Como 10721 188 +1023 WWWWD
5 AC Milan 10631 2112 +921 WLWWD
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 10523 1310 +317 WLWLD
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Genoa 10415 1014 -413 WWWLW
13 Atalanta 10325 1620 -411 LDDLW
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 10226 1523 -88 WDLLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 10217 1724 -77 LLLWL
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation