Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction

Auxerre
vs
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Toulouse
39%
Model pickNo Pick
Toulouse win

The model favours Toulouse win at 39%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Auxerre34%
Draw28%
Toulouse39%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals1.26 – 1.42
Both score55%
Over 2.5 goals50%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Toulouse win, supported by their slightly better league standing, more stable season form, and superior goal difference compared to Auxerre. Toulouse also has a better defensive record, conceding 1.4 goals per match against Auxerre's 2.4. Despite these factors, the predicted probabilities are quite close, suggesting a potentially tight contest.

Auxerre

Auxerre's recent form is poor, with three wins, one draw, and six losses in ten matches. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Toulouse

Toulouse shows more consistent form, with three wins, four draws, and three losses in ten matches. They have a better defensive record, conceding 1.4 goals per match on average.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-02-01Toulouse0–0Auxerre
  • 2025-09-21Auxerre1–0Toulouse
  • 2025-02-09Auxerre2–2Toulouse
  • 2024-12-01Toulouse2–0Auxerre
  • 2023-05-27Toulouse1–1Auxerre

Form & table

Toulouse12th, 13 ptsWLDWD
Auxerre14th, 10 ptsLLDWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 10721 2210 +1223 WWWWW
2 Lille 10631 147 +721 WWDDW
3 Paris FC 10622 1710 +720 WWLWL
4 Marseille 10604 2214 +818 WWWWW
5 Lyon 10523 159 +617 LWLWL
6 Nice 10523 1512 +317 WWWLW
7 Monaco 10442 1311 +216 DLDLD
8 Rennes 10514 2121 016 LLWLW
9 Stade Brestois 29 10433 1812 +615 WWLDW
10 Lorient 10433 98 +115 WLDWW
11 Lens 10415 1715 +213 LLWWW
12 Toulouse 10343 1514 +113 WLDWD
13 Strasbourg 10316 1822 -410 LWLLL
14 Auxerre 10316 1324 -1110 LLDWL
15 Le Mans 10154 1219 -78 DLDLL
16 Angers 10226 919 -108 LLDLL
17 Estac Troyes 10226 717 -108 LWDLL
18 Le Havre 10028 922 -132 LLLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation