Barcelona vs Manchester City prediction

Barcelona

Tue 8 Dec, 20:00 UTC Camp Nou, Barcelona

Manchester City

54%

Model pickWatch Only

Barcelona win

The model favours Barcelona win at 54%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Barcelona54%

Draw20%

Manchester City26%

Likely score2-1

Expected goals2.41 – 1.72

Both score75%

Over 2.5 goals78%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for a Barcelona win is supported by their slightly superior goal-scoring and defensive records this season, alongside a strong historical home advantage against Manchester City. While both teams share identical league points and win-loss records, Barcelona's higher average goals scored and lower average goals conceded, coupled with their past home victories against City, align with the prediction.

Barcelona

Barcelona enters this match in strong form, having won three of their four season games. They boast an impressive average of 3.5 goals scored per match and have not failed to score.

Manchester City

Manchester City also shows good form with three wins from four matches this season. They have scored an average of 3.0 goals per game and have consistently found the net.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

2024-07-30Manchester City2–2Barcelona
2022-08-24Barcelona3–3Manchester City
2016-11-01Manchester City3–1Barcelona
2016-10-19Barcelona4–0Manchester City
2015-03-18Barcelona1–0Manchester City

Form & table

Barcelona5th, 9 ptsWLWW

Manchester City7th, 9 ptsWWLW

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12	WWWW
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12	WWWW
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10	WDWW
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9	WWLW
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9	WLWW
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9	LWWW
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9	WWLW
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9	LWWW
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9	WWWL
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9	WLWW
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9	LWWW
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9	WWLW
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8	WDDW
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7	LDWW
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6	WWLL
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6	WWLL
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	WLLW
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6	WWLL
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5	WDLD
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4	LWLD
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4	LLWD
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4	WLDL
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LDWL
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4	LWLD
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DLWL
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3	WLLL
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	LWLL
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3	LLWL
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLWL
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3	LLWL
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3	LLWL
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3	LLLW
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1	LDLL
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1	DLLL
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
54%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
28%
Draw riskmax 30%
20%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.41

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is Watch Only. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeSun 8 Nov, 00:40 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffTue 8 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4