Barcelona vs Villarreal prediction

Barcelona
vs
Camp Nou, Barcelona
Villarreal
81%
Model pickRecommended Pick
Barcelona win

The model favours Barcelona win at 81%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Barcelona81%
Draw11%
Villarreal8%
Likely score3-1
Expected goals3.54 – 1.15
Both score66%
Over 2.5 goals84%

Match analysis

Barcelona's top league ranking, exceptional scoring record, and strong recent form, including multiple wins against Villarreal in head-to-head, strongly support the forecast. Villarreal's inconsistent form and lower league standing indicate they face a significant challenge, despite some past upset victories against Barcelona. The expected goals further highlight Barcelona's offensive prowess.

Barcelona

Barcelona is in outstanding form, winning 10 of their 11 league matches and scoring an average of 4.2 goals per game. They have failed to score in none of their matches, demonstrating consistent attacking threat.

Villarreal

Villarreal's form is inconsistent, with only three wins and five losses in their 11 league matches. They have struggled to score consistently, failing to score in four games, and their goals conceded match their goals scored.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28Barcelona4–1Villarreal
  • 2025-12-21Villarreal0–2Barcelona
  • 2025-05-18Barcelona2–3Villarreal
  • 2024-09-22Villarreal1–5Barcelona
  • 2024-01-27Barcelona3–5Villarreal

Form & table

Barcelona1st, 30 ptsWLWWW
Villarreal11th, 12 ptsLWDLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 111001 4612 +3430 WLWWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 11911 228 +1428 WWWWW
4 Real Betis 11722 1815 +323 WDLWD
5 Real Sociedad 11614 2020 019 LWWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
9 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
10 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
11 Villarreal 11335 1515 012 LWDLW
12 Celta Vigo 11263 1010 012 LDWDW
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 10334 1520 -512 WLDDW
15 Getafe 11335 816 -812 WLDLW
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Elche 11245 1418 -410 LWDDW
18 Levante 11245 1621 -510 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation