Bayer Leverkusen vs Beşiktaş prediction

Bayer Leverkusen

Thu 10 Dec, 20:00 UTC BayArena, Leverkusen

Beşiktaş

60%

Model pickWatch Only

Bayer Leverkusen win

The model favours Bayer Leverkusen win at 60%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Bayer Leverkusen60%

Draw22%

Beşiktaş18%

Likely score2-1

Expected goals2.03 – 1.06

Both score57%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Bayer Leverkusen win is supported by their strong league form, particularly their excellent defensive record of only 1 goal conceded in 4 matches, and their home advantage. While Beşiktaş also shows strong overall season form, the specific details of their Europa League performance are less clear, and there is no head-to-head data to consider.

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen is in strong form (WWWL), having won 3 of their 4 league matches. They boast an excellent defensive record, conceding only 1 goal and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Beşiktaş

Beşiktaş has demonstrated strong overall season form (WWWWWLWWDL), winning 7 of their 10 matches. They have a good scoring record, averaging 1.9 goals per match, and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

2023-08-05Bayer Leverkusen?–?Beşiktaş

Form & table

Bayer Leverkusen7th, 9 ptsLWWW

Beşiktaş8th, 7 ptsLDWW

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	13	3	+10	12	WWWW
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	11	2	+9	12	WWWW
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	11	3	+8	12	WWWW
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	10	2	+8	10	WWDW
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	11	4	+7	10	WDWW
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	4	1	+3	10	DWWW
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	8	1	+7	9	LWWW
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	11	8	+3	7	LDWW
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7	WLWD
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7	WWDL
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	4	4	0	7	LDWW
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	8	9	-1	7	WWDL
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	6	7	-1	7	DLWW
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	7	4	+3	6	LWWL
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	6	3	+3	6	WWLL
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	5	4	+1	6	WLLW
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	4	3	+1	6	DDWD
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	6	7	-1	6	LLWW
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	7	9	-2	6	WLLW
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	9	4	+5	5	DWDL
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	9	6	+3	5	DDLW
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4	LLDW
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4	DWLL
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	3	6	-3	4	LWLD
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4	WDLL
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	3	8	-5	4	LDLW
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	4	6	-2	3	LWLL
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	3	7	-4	3	WLLL
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	2	6	-4	3	WLLL
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	WLLL
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	1	8	-7	1	LLLD
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	2	10	-8	1	LLDL
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	2	12	-10	1	LDLL
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	4	14	-10	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
60%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
38%
Draw riskmax 30%
22%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.49

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is Watch Only. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeTue 10 Nov, 00:53 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffThu 10 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4