Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln prediction

Bayern München
vs
Allianz Arena, Munich
1. FC Köln
91%
Model pickRecommended Pick
Bayern München win

The model favours Bayern München win at 91%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Bayern München91%
Draw6%
1. FC Köln3%
Likely score4-0
Expected goals4.03 – 0.71
Both score50%
Over 2.5 goals85%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for a Bayern München win is strongly supported by their undefeated league record, top rank, and high goal-scoring average of 3.4 per match. Furthermore, Bayern has won all five recent head-to-head encounters against 1. FC Köln, often by significant margins. 1. FC Köln's inconsistent form, lower league position, and modest goal-scoring average of 1.1 goals per match further complicate their chances.

Bayern München

Bayern München is in excellent form, remaining undefeated with five wins and three draws from eight matches, scoring an impressive 27 goals.

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln shows inconsistent form, having secured two wins, three draws, and three losses in their eight matches played, with a modest nine goals scored.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-05-16Bayern München5–11. FC Köln
  • 2026-01-141. FC Köln1–3Bayern München
  • 2025-10-291. FC Köln1–4Bayern München
  • 2024-04-13Bayern Munich2–01. FC Köln
  • 2023-11-241. FC Köln0–1Bayern Munich

Form & table

Bayern München1st, 18 ptsDWWDW
1. FC Köln14th, 9 ptsDDLWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 8530 278 +1918 DWWDW
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 146 +818 DWDDW
3 SC Freiburg 8512 1810 +816 WLLWD
4 RB Leipzig 8503 2211 +1115 WWLWL
5 Werder Bremen 8431 1714 +315 WWDDW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 1816 +213 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 8413 1616 013 WLWLD
8 Hamburger SV 9405 1020 -1012 WLLWW
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 1318 -511 WLWLD
10 FSV Mainz 05 8314 1717 010 LLWLW
11 FC Augsburg 8233 1815 +39 LDLDL
12 VfB Stuttgart 8305 1415 -19 WLLWL
13 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 1416 -29 LWWLL
14 1. FC Köln 8233 912 -39 DDLWL
15 SC Paderborn 07 8233 69 -39 DWDLW
16 Union Berlin 8143 719 -127 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 49 -56 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9117 1225 -134 LDWLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation