Bournemouth vs Plzen prediction

Bournemouth

Thu 10 Dec, 20:00 UTC Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Plzen

70%

Model pickRecommended Pick

Bournemouth win

The model favours Bournemouth win at 70%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Bournemouth70%

Draw18%

Plzen12%

Likely score2-0

Expected goals2.4 – 0.92

Both score55%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Bournemouth win is strongly supported by their perfect recent form, high league standing, and significantly better goal-scoring and defensive records compared to Plzen. Plzen's poor form and low league rank further reinforce this prediction.

Bournemouth

Bournemouth is in excellent form, winning all four of their matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding only 2. They have not failed to score in any game.

Plzen

Plzen's recent form is inconsistent, with two wins and four losses in six matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 11, failing to score in two games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Form & table

Bournemouth2nd, 12 ptsWWWW

Plzen30th, 3 ptsWLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	13	3	+10	12	WWWW
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	11	2	+9	12	WWWW
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	11	3	+8	12	WWWW
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	10	2	+8	10	WWDW
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	11	4	+7	10	WDWW
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	4	1	+3	10	DWWW
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	8	1	+7	9	LWWW
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	11	8	+3	7	LDWW
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	5	4	+1	7	WLWD
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	4	3	+1	7	WWDL
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	4	4	0	7	LDWW
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	8	9	-1	7	WWDL
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	6	7	-1	7	DLWW
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	7	4	+3	6	LWWL
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	6	3	+3	6	WWLL
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	5	4	+1	6	WLLW
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	4	3	+1	6	DDWD
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	6	7	-1	6	LLWW
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	7	9	-2	6	WLLW
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	9	4	+5	5	DWDL
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	9	6	+3	5	DDLW
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4	LLDW
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	6	6	0	4	DWLL
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	3	6	-3	4	LWLD
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4	WDLL
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	3	8	-5	4	LDLW
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	4	6	-2	3	LWLL
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3	3	LLWL
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	3	7	-4	3	WLLL
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	2	6	-4	3	WLLL
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	WLLL
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	1	8	-7	1	LLLD
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	2	10	-8	1	LLDL
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	2	12	-10	1	LDLL
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	4	14	-10	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
70%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
52%
Draw riskmax 30%
18%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.61

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is Recommended Pick. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeTue 10 Nov, 00:53 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffThu 10 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4