Cagliari vs Venezia prediction

Cagliari
vs
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Venezia
38%
Model pickNo Pick
Cagliari win

The model favours Cagliari win at 38%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Cagliari38%
Draw30%
Venezia33%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.21 – 1.15
Both score49%
Over 2.5 goals42%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Cagliari win, which is supported by their significantly better league standing, superior season record (5 wins vs 2 wins), and stronger goal difference. However, the model's probabilities show a relatively tight contest with Venezia having a 33% chance, and the expected goals are very close, suggesting a potentially narrow margin.

Cagliari

Cagliari's form has been mixed, with a recent win but also a period of four consecutive losses, indicating inconsistency. They have a balanced record of 5 wins and 5 losses this season, scoring an average of 0.9 goals per match.

Venezia

Venezia is in very poor form, having lost nine of their eleven matches this season and failing to score in six of those games. Their defensive record is particularly weak, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2025-05-18Cagliari3–0Venezia
  • 2024-12-22Venezia2–1Cagliari
  • 2023-05-27Cagliari2–1Venezia
  • 2023-02-25Venezia0–0Cagliari
  • 2022-10-01Cagliari1–4Venezia

Form & table

Cagliari9th, 16 ptsWLLLL
Venezia19th, 6 ptsWLLLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 Inter 11911 2813 +1528 WLWWW
3 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313 +1024 WWLWW
5 Como 11722 1810 +823 LWWWW
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 11533 1512 +318 DWLWL
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Atalanta 11425 1720 -314 WLDDL
13 Genoa 11416 1116 -513 LWWWL
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 11236 1725 -89 DWDLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 11218 1725 -87 LLLLW
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation