Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction

Win probabilities

Match analysis

The model forecasts a narrow Chelsea win, supported by their higher league position, better overall win record, and superior goal-scoring average. However, Liverpool's stronger defensive record and the identical expected goals for both teams suggest a highly competitive match, complicating a clear-cut Chelsea victory.

Chelsea

Chelsea's recent form is mixed, with five wins, one draw, and three losses from nine matches. They demonstrate strong attacking capabilities, averaging 2.1 goals per match, but also concede an average of 1.7 goals.

Liverpool

Liverpool's form shows a blend of results, with four wins, three draws, and two losses in nine games. They exhibit a solid defensive performance, conceding only 1.0 goal per match, but their scoring average is lower at 1.2 goals per game.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

• 2026-10-28Liverpool1–1Chelsea
• 2026-05-09Liverpool1–1Chelsea
• 2025-10-04Chelsea2–1Liverpool
• 2025-05-04Chelsea3–1Liverpool
• 2024-10-20Liverpool2–1Chelsea