England vs Croatia prediction

Win probabilities

Includes the betting market's view from 10 bookmakers (75% / 16% / 8%). How this works

Match analysis

The forecast for an England win is strongly supported by their superior league standing, dominant season statistics, and a commanding head-to-head record against Croatia, including recent high-scoring victories. Croatia's poor form and high goals conceded rate further reinforce this prediction. The model's expected goals of England 2.26 to Croatia 0.89 align with England's offensive strength and Croatia's defensive struggles.

England

England enters the match with strong form, winning three of their last four games, and boasts an impressive season record of 14 goals scored and only 3 conceded in 4 matches.

Croatia

Croatia's form is concerning, with three losses in their last four matches, and their season statistics show they have scored only 4 goals while conceding 14 in 4 games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

• 2026-10-03Croatia0–7England
• 2026-06-17England4–2Croatia
• 2021-06-13England1–0Croatia
• 2018-11-18England2–1Croatia
• 2018-10-12Croatia0–0England