Lazio vs AS Roma prediction
Lazio
AS RomaThe model favours AS Roma win at 41%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model's forecast for an AS Roma win is strongly supported by their dominant head-to-head record, having won four of the last five matches against Lazio. AS Roma also has a higher expected goals value and has scored more goals this season. However, Lazio's current top league position and undefeated status, coupled with a slightly better defensive record, suggest a challenging derby.
LazioLazio is in outstanding form, remaining undefeated with nine wins and two draws from eleven matches. They have a potent offense, scoring 2.3 goals per game, and a robust defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per match.
AS RomaAS Roma also demonstrates excellent form, being undefeated with eight wins and three draws in eleven games. Their attack is highly effective, averaging 2.8 goals per match, and they have secured six clean sheets this season.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-17AS Roma2–0Lazio
- 2025-09-21Lazio0–1AS Roma
- 2025-04-13Lazio1–1AS Roma
- 2025-01-05AS Roma2–0Lazio
- 2024-04-06AS Roma1–0Lazio
Form & table
Lazio1st, 29 ptsDWWWWAS Roma3rd, 27 ptsWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio |
11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter |
11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma |
11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  AC Milan |
11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como |
11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone |
11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna |
11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari |
11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli |
11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino |
11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta |
11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa |
11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce |
11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma |
11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo |
11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza |
11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia |
11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese |
11 | -13 | 5 |