Lecce vs Sassuolo prediction
Lecce
SassuoloThe model favours Sassuolo win at 41%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts a Sassuolo win, supported by their slightly higher expected goals and better average goals scored per match compared to Lecce. However, Sassuolo's significantly higher goals conceded average and worse league position complicate this forecast, suggesting a tight contest between two struggling teams. The head-to-head record is mixed, with both teams securing wins and draws in recent encounters.
Lecce's form is inconsistent, marked by more losses than wins recently, including a draw in their last match. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of two goals per match this season.
Sassuolo's recent form is poor, with many losses, though they have managed a win and a draw in their last five matches. Their defense is a significant concern, having conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet all season.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-17Sassuolo2–3Lecce
- 2025-10-18Lecce0–0Sassuolo
- 2024-09-24Lecce0–2Sassuolo
- 2024-04-21Sassuolo0–3Lecce
- 2023-10-06Lecce1–1Sassuolo
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +16 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | +15 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | +21 | 27 | |
| 4 | 11 | +10 | 24 | |
| 5 | 11 | +8 | 23 | |
| 6 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 7 | 11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | +2 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | -5 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | +4 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | -2 | 14 | |
| 12 | 11 | -3 | 14 | |
| 13 | 11 | -5 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | -10 | 10 | |
| 15 | 11 | -8 | 9 | |
| 16 | 11 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | -13 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | -8 | 7 | |
| 19 | 11 | -13 | 6 | |
| 20 | 11 | -13 | 5 |