Lecce vs Sassuolo prediction

Lecce
vs
Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce
Sassuolo
41%
Model pickNo Pick
Sassuolo win

The model favours Sassuolo win at 41%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Lecce31%
Draw28%
Sassuolo41%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals1.18 – 1.43
Both score53%
Over 2.5 goals48%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Sassuolo win, supported by their slightly higher expected goals and better average goals scored per match compared to Lecce. However, Sassuolo's significantly higher goals conceded average and worse league position complicate this forecast, suggesting a tight contest between two struggling teams. The head-to-head record is mixed, with both teams securing wins and draws in recent encounters.

Lecce

Lecce's form is inconsistent, marked by more losses than wins recently, including a draw in their last match. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of two goals per match this season.

Sassuolo

Sassuolo's recent form is poor, with many losses, though they have managed a win and a draw in their last five matches. Their defense is a significant concern, having conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet all season.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-05-17Sassuolo2–3Lecce
  • 2025-10-18Lecce0–0Sassuolo
  • 2024-09-24Lecce0–2Sassuolo
  • 2024-04-21Sassuolo0–3Lecce
  • 2023-10-06Lecce1–1Sassuolo

Form & table

Lecce14th, 10 ptsDLLLW
Sassuolo17th, 8 ptsLLLLL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 Inter 11911 2813 +1528 WLWWW
3 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313 +1024 WWLWW
5 Como 11722 1810 +823 LWWWW
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 11533 1512 +318 DWLWL
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Atalanta 11425 1720 -314 WLDDL
13 Genoa 11416 1116 -513 LWWWL
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 11236 1725 -89 DWDLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 11218 1725 -87 LLLLW
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation