Liverpool vs FC Porto prediction

Liverpool

Wed 9 Dec, 20:00 UTC Anfield, Liverpool

FC Porto

54%

Model pickWatch Only

Liverpool win

The model favours Liverpool win at 54%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Liverpool54%

Draw24%

FC Porto22%

Likely score2-1

Expected goals1.82 – 1.11

Both score57%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Match analysis

Liverpool's dominant head-to-head record against FC Porto, coupled with their superior league standing and recent form, strongly supports the forecast for a home win. While Liverpool has a high goals conceded average, FC Porto's poor recent form and lower expected goals complicate their chances. The model's expected goals of 1.82 for Liverpool against 1.11 for FC Porto also align with a home victory.

Liverpool

Liverpool has won three of their last four matches, scoring an impressive 14 goals in four games, though they have not kept any clean sheets.

FC Porto

FC Porto has struggled significantly, losing three of their last four matches and failing to score in two of their four season games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

2021-11-24Liverpool2–0FC Porto
2021-09-28FC Porto1–5Liverpool
2019-04-17FC Porto1–4Liverpool
2019-04-09Liverpool2–0FC Porto
2018-03-06Liverpool0–0FC Porto

Form & table

Liverpool8th, 9 ptsLWWW

FC Porto26th, 3 ptsWLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12	WWWW
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12	WWWW
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10	WDWW
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9	WWLW
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9	WLWW
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9	LWWW
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9	WWLW
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9	LWWW
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9	WWWL
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9	WLWW
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9	LWWW
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9	WWLW
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8	WDDW
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7	LDWW
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6	WWLL
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6	WWLL
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	WLLW
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6	WWLL
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5	WDLD
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4	LWLD
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4	LLWD
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4	WLDL
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LDWL
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4	LWLD
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DLWL
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3	WLLL
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	LWLL
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3	LLWL
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLWL
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3	LLWL
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3	LLWL
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3	LLLW
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1	LDLL
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1	DLLL
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
54%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
30%
Draw riskmax 30%
24%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.42

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is Watch Only. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeMon 9 Nov, 00:45 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffWed 9 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4