Lorient vs Lille prediction

Lorient
vs
Stade du Moustoir, Lorient
Lille
38%
Model pickNo Pick
Lille win

The model favours Lille win at 38%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Lorient31%
Draw31%
Lille38%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals0.98 – 1.16
Both score44%
Over 2.5 goals36%

Match analysis

Lille's superior league standing, stronger season performance, and better recent form support the forecast for a Lille win. However, the head-to-head record includes a recent draw and a past Lorient victory, while the model's probabilities suggest a relatively close contest. Lille's slightly higher expected goals also align with the forecast.

Lorient

Lorient's recent form is inconsistent with an even split of wins, draws, and losses over their last ten matches. They have shown defensive solidity with six clean sheets but struggle to score, averaging less than a goal per game.

Lille

Lille is in strong form, having lost only one of their last ten matches and consistently finding the net. They boast a solid defense, conceding an average of 0.7 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-08Lille1–1Lorient
  • 2025-08-30Lorient1–7Lille
  • 2024-01-14Lille3–0Lorient
  • 2023-08-27Lorient4–1Lille
  • 2023-04-02Lille3–1Lorient

Form & table

Lille2nd, 21 ptsWWDDW
Lorient10th, 15 ptsWLDWW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 10721 2210 +1223 WWWWW
2 Lille 10631 147 +721 WWDDW
3 Paris FC 10622 1710 +720 WWLWL
4 Marseille 10604 2214 +818 WWWWW
5 Lyon 10523 159 +617 LWLWL
6 Nice 10523 1512 +317 WWWLW
7 Monaco 10442 1311 +216 DLDLD
8 Rennes 10514 2121 016 LLWLW
9 Stade Brestois 29 10433 1812 +615 WWLDW
10 Lorient 10433 98 +115 WLDWW
11 Lens 10415 1715 +213 LLWWW
12 Toulouse 10343 1514 +113 WLDWD
13 Strasbourg 10316 1822 -410 LWLLL
14 Auxerre 10316 1324 -1110 LLDWL
15 Le Mans 10154 1219 -78 DLDLL
16 Angers 10226 919 -108 LLDLL
17 Estac Troyes 10226 717 -108 LWDLL
18 Le Havre 10028 922 -132 LLLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation