Lyon vs Marseille prediction
Lyon
MarseilleThe model favours Lyon win at 46%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts a Lyon win, supported by their stronger defensive record and historical home victories against Marseille in the head-to-head. However, Marseille's superior attacking output and slightly higher league standing complicate this prediction, suggesting a closely contested match. The expected goals also indicate a tight affair with Lyon at 1.67 and Marseille at 1.33.
LyonLyon's recent form shows a balanced mix of wins and losses, indicating some inconsistency, but they maintain a solid defensive record, conceding 0.9 goals per match. They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 games.
MarseilleMarseille's form is characterized by streaks, including a recent run of wins following several losses, highlighting their volatile performance. They possess a strong attacking threat, averaging 2.2 goals per match, but concede more frequently than Lyon.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-03-01Marseille3–2Lyon
- 2025-08-31Lyon1–0Marseille
- 2025-02-02Marseille3–2Lyon
- 2024-09-22Lyon2–3Marseille
- 2024-02-04Lyon1–0Marseille
Form & table
Marseille4th, 18 ptsWWWWWLyon5th, 17 ptsLWLWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille |
10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC |
10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Marseille |
10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Lyon |
10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Nice |
10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Monaco |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes |
10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 |
10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient |
10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 |  Lens |
10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Toulouse |
10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg |
10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre |
10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans |
10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers |
10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes |
10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre |
10 | -13 | 2 |