Lyon vs Monaco prediction

Lyon
vs
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Monaco
46%
Model pickNo Pick
Lyon win

The model favours Lyon win at 46%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Lyon46%
Draw26%
Monaco28%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals1.64 – 1.29
Both score59%
Over 2.5 goals56%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Lyon win is supported by their higher league standing and superior season stats in goals scored and conceded. However, the head-to-head record slightly complicates this, as Monaco has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Lyon.

Lyon

Lyon has a strong season record with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from 9 games, scoring 1.7 goals per match and conceding only 0.8. Their form is generally positive, showing good attacking and defensive balance.

Monaco

Monaco's season stats show 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses from 9 matches, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per game. Their recent form is mixed, including some losses.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-22Lyon1–2Monaco
  • 2026-01-03Monaco1–3Lyon
  • 2025-05-10Monaco2–0Lyon
  • 2024-08-24Lyon0–2Monaco
  • 2024-04-28Lyon3–2Monaco

Form & table

Lyon3rd, 17 ptsWLWLW
Monaco7th, 15 ptsLDLDW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 2110 +1120 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 126 +618 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 157 +817 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 1610 +617 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 2019 +116 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 2013 +715 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 1210 +215 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 1312 +114 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 1613 +313 LWWWL
10 Toulouse 10343 1514 +113 WLDWD
11 Stade Brestois 29 9333 1612 +412 WLDWL
12 Lorient 9333 78 -112 LDWWL
13 Strasbourg 10316 1822 -410 LWLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 1323 -1010 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 917 -88 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 716 -98 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 1118 -77 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 920 -112 LLLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation