Marseille vs Celta Vigo prediction
Marseille
Celta VigoThe model favours Marseille win at 52%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts a Marseille win, supported by higher expected goals despite both teams having identical league points and poor recent form. Marseille's low goal-scoring average of 0.5 per match complicates their favored status, as Celta Vigo has scored twice as many goals this season. The absence of head-to-head data means this match lacks historical precedent.
Marseille's recent form is LLLW, having won only one of their four matches played. They have scored an average of 0.5 goals per match and conceded 1.5 goals per match.
Celta Vigo also shows poor recent form with LLWL, securing one win from their four matches. They have scored an average of 1.0 goals per match while conceding 1.5 goals per match.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +10 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | +9 | 12 | |
| 3 | 4 | +8 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | +8 | 10 | |
| 5 | 4 | +7 | 10 | |
| 6 | 4 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 | 4 | +7 | 9 | |
| 8 | 4 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | 4 | -1 | 7 | |
| 14 | 4 | +3 | 6 | |
| 15 | 4 | +3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 17 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 18 | 4 | -1 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | 4 | +5 | 5 | |
| 21 | 4 | +3 | 5 | |
| 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 24 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | -5 | 4 | |
| 27 | 4 | -2 | 3 | |
| 28 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 29 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | -4 | 3 | |
| 31 | 4 | -4 | 3 | |
| 32 | 4 | -5 | 3 | |
| 33 | 4 | -7 | 1 | |
| 34 | 4 | -8 | 1 | |
| 35 | 4 | -10 | 1 | |
| 36 | 4 | -10 | 0 |