Marseille vs Nice prediction

Marseille
vs
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Nice
59%
Model pickWatch Only
Marseille win

The model favours Marseille win at 59%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Marseille59%
Draw23%
Nice18%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals2.02 – 1.08
Both score58%
Over 2.5 goals60%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for a Marseille win is supported by their stronger attacking record and recent four-match winning streak. However, Nice has a slightly better defensive record this season, and the most recent head-to-head fixture at this venue resulted in a 0-3 loss for Marseille.

Marseille

Marseille has demonstrated strong recent form, winning their last four matches after an earlier four-game losing streak. They have a high-scoring offense, averaging 2.2 goals per match.

Nice

Nice's form has been mixed, with their last nine matches showing a pattern of alternating results. They have a relatively solid defense, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-07-25Marseille0–3Nice
  • 2026-04-26Marseille1–1Nice
  • 2025-11-21Nice1–5Marseille
  • 2025-01-26Nice2–0Marseille
  • 2024-09-14Marseille2–0Nice

Form & table

Marseille6th, 15 ptsWWWWL
Nice8th, 14 ptsWWLWW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 2110 +1120 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 126 +618 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 157 +817 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 1610 +617 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 2019 +116 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 2013 +715 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 1210 +215 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 1312 +114 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 1613 +313 LWWWL
10 Toulouse 10343 1514 +113 WLDWD
11 Stade Brestois 29 9333 1612 +412 WLDWL
12 Lorient 9333 78 -112 LDWWL
13 Strasbourg 10316 1822 -410 LWLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 1323 -1010 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 917 -88 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 716 -98 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 1118 -77 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 920 -112 LLLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation