Napoli vs AC Milan prediction
Napoli
AC MilanThe model favours Napoli win at 40%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for a Napoli win is supported by their strong head-to-head record against AC Milan and a slightly higher expected goals value. However, AC Milan's superior league standing, better season form, and higher average goals scored complicate this prediction.
NapoliNapoli's season form has been inconsistent, with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their 11 matches. They average 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per match.
AC MilanAC Milan enters this match in strong form, having won 7 of their 11 league games and suffering only one loss. They boast a higher scoring average of 2.1 goals per match and have not failed to score this season.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-06Napoli1–0AC Milan
- 2025-12-18Napoli2–0AC Milan
- 2025-09-28AC Milan2–1Napoli
- 2025-03-30Napoli2–1AC Milan
- 2024-10-29AC Milan0–2Napoli
Form & table
AC Milan4th, 24 ptsWWLWWNapoli10th, 15 ptsDLWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio |
11 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Inter |
11 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  AS Roma |
11 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan |
11 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  Como |
11 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 |  Frosinone |
11 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna |
11 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari |
11 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 | Napoli |
11 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino |
11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Atalanta |
11 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa |
11 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce |
11 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
11 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 |  Parma |
11 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo |
11 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza |
11 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |  Venezia |
11 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese |
11 | -13 | 5 |