Nice vs Lens prediction
Nice
LensThe model favours Lens win at 37%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts a Lens win with a 37% probability, matching Nice's probability, supported by Lens's slightly higher expected goals of 1.49 compared to Nice's 1.43 and their stronger head-to-head record. However, Nice's better league standing and overall season record, including fewer losses, complicate this forecast. The probabilities suggest a very close match with no clear favorite.
NiceNice has a solid season record with 5 wins from 10 matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game. Their recent form shows strength, including three wins in their last four league matches.
LensLens has an inconsistent season, with 4 wins and 5 losses in 10 matches, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. They have struggled recently, with two losses in their last three matches, and have not kept a clean sheet this season.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-22Lens3–1Nice
- 2026-05-02Nice1–1Lens
- 2025-12-14Lens2–0Nice
- 2025-02-08Nice2–0Lens
- 2024-09-28Lens0–0Nice
Form & table
Nice6th, 17 ptsWWWLWLens11th, 13 ptsLLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Lille |
10 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Paris FC |
10 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Marseille |
10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lyon |
10 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Nice |
10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Monaco |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Rennes |
10 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 |
10 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient |
10 | +1 | 15 |
| 11 | Lens |
10 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Toulouse |
10 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg |
10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre |
10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans |
10 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Angers |
10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes |
10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Le Havre |
10 | -13 | 2 |