Parma vs Fiorentina prediction

Parma
vs
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Fiorentina
42%
Model pickNo Pick
Fiorentina win

The model favours Fiorentina win at 42%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Parma28%
Draw30%
Fiorentina42%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals1 – 1.32
Both score47%
Over 2.5 goals41%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Fiorentina win, supported by their higher season goal average and expected goals. However, the head-to-head record complicates this, showing three draws and a Parma win in the last five encounters, with Fiorentina failing to secure a victory. Both teams are in poor league form, suggesting a tight match.

Parma

Parma's season form is poor, with only two wins in 11 matches, and they struggle significantly to score, averaging 0.8 goals per game. They have failed to score in five of their matches.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina's season form is also poor, with two wins and three draws from 11 matches. While they concede many goals, they score more frequently than Parma, averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-08Fiorentina0–0Parma
  • 2025-12-27Parma1–0Fiorentina
  • 2025-04-13Fiorentina0–0Parma
  • 2024-08-17Parma1–1Fiorentina
  • 2023-12-06Fiorentina2–2Parma

Form & table

Fiorentina15th, 9 ptsDWDLL
Parma16th, 8 ptsLWDLL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 Inter 11911 2813 +1528 WLWWW
3 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313 +1024 WWLWW
5 Como 11722 1810 +823 LWWWW
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 11533 1512 +318 DWLWL
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Atalanta 11425 1720 -314 WLDDL
13 Genoa 11416 1116 -513 LWWWL
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 11236 1725 -89 DWDLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 11218 1725 -87 LLLLW
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation