Real Madrid vs Alaves prediction
Real Madrid
AlavesThe model favours Real Madrid win at 79%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
Real Madrid's dominant league form, superior goal difference, and perfect head-to-head record against Alaves strongly support the forecast of a home win. Alaves's inconsistent form and lower expected goals further reinforce this prediction. No data complicates the forecast.
Real MadridReal Madrid is in superb form, having won 9 of their 11 matches and averaging 2.5 goals scored per game. Their defense is also strong, conceding less than a goal per match.
AlavesAlaves has shown inconsistent form this season, with more losses than wins in their 12 matches played. They average 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-21Real Madrid2–1Alaves
- 2025-12-14Alaves1–2Real Madrid
- 2025-04-13Alaves0–1Real Madrid
- 2024-09-24Real Madrid3–2Alaves
- 2024-05-14Real Madrid5–0Alaves
Form & table
Real Madrid3rd, 27 ptsWWWWLAlaves10th, 13 ptsDLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona |
11 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid |
11 | +14 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid |
11 | +18 | 27 |
| 4 |  Real Betis |
11 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad |
11 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |  Sevilla |
12 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Athletic Club |
11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna |
12 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Racing Santander |
12 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 | Alaves |
12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |  Villarreal |
11 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |  Celta Vigo |
11 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |  Espanyol |
12 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano |
10 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Getafe |
11 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |  Osasuna |
12 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Elche |
11 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |  Levante |
11 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |  Valencia |
11 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 |  Malaga |
12 | -14 | 5 |