Sassuolo vs Genoa prediction
Sassuolo
GenoaThe model favours Sassuolo win at 38%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts a Sassuolo win, which is complicated by their significantly worse league standing, poor defensive record, and a strong head-to-head history favoring Genoa. However, Sassuolo has a higher average goals scored per match this season compared to Genoa. The expected goals for both teams are very similar, suggesting a tightly contested match.
Sassuolo's recent form is poor, with only two wins and six losses in their last ten matches. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match this season.
Genoa's form is mixed, showing recent wins but also several losses over their last ten games. They have a more solid defensive record compared to Sassuolo, conceding 1.4 goals per match on average.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-12Genoa2–1Sassuolo
- 2025-11-03Sassuolo1–2Genoa
- 2024-05-12Genoa2–1Sassuolo
- 2023-12-22Sassuolo1–2Genoa
- 2022-01-06Sassuolo1–1Genoa
Form & table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +16 | 29 | |
| 2 | 11 | +21 | 27 | |
| 3 | 10 | +13 | 25 | |
| 4 | 11 | +10 | 24 | |
| 5 | 10 | +10 | 23 | |
| 6 | 11 | +9 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | 17 | |
| 8 | 11 | +2 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | -5 | 16 | |
| 10 | 11 | +4 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | -2 | 14 | |
| 12 | 11 | -3 | 14 | |
| 13 | 11 | -5 | 13 | |
| 14 | 11 | -10 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | -8 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | -8 | 8 | |
| 17 | 11 | -13 | 8 | |
| 18 | 11 | -8 | 7 | |
| 19 | 11 | -13 | 6 | |
| 20 | 11 | -13 | 5 |