Sassuolo vs Genoa prediction

Sassuolo
vs
Genoa
38%
Model pickNo Pick
Sassuolo win

The model favours Sassuolo win at 38%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Sassuolo38%
Draw28%
Genoa34%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.36 – 1.33
Both score55%
Over 2.5 goals50%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Sassuolo win, which is complicated by their significantly worse league standing, poor defensive record, and a strong head-to-head history favoring Genoa. However, Sassuolo has a higher average goals scored per match this season compared to Genoa. The expected goals for both teams are very similar, suggesting a tightly contested match.

Sassuolo

Sassuolo's recent form is poor, with only two wins and six losses in their last ten matches. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match this season.

Genoa

Genoa's form is mixed, showing recent wins but also several losses over their last ten games. They have a more solid defensive record compared to Sassuolo, conceding 1.4 goals per match on average.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-04-12Genoa2–1Sassuolo
  • 2025-11-03Sassuolo1–2Genoa
  • 2024-05-12Genoa2–1Sassuolo
  • 2023-12-22Sassuolo1–2Genoa
  • 2022-01-06Sassuolo1–1Genoa

Form & table

Genoa13th, 13 ptsLWWWL
Sassuolo17th, 8 ptsLLLLL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 11920 259 +1629 DWWWW
2 AS Roma 11830 3110 +2127 WWWDW
3 Inter 10811 2613 +1325 LWWWW
4 AC Milan 11731 2313 +1024 WWLWW
5 Como 10721 188 +1023 WWWWD
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 10523 1310 +317 WLWLD
8 Bologna 11524 1614 +217 WWWWL
9 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
10 Napoli 11434 1814 +415 DLWDL
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Atalanta 11425 1720 -314 WLDDL
13 Genoa 11416 1116 -513 LWWWL
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Fiorentina 10226 1523 -88 WDLLL
16 Parma 11227 917 -88 LWDLL
17 Sassuolo 11227 1629 -138 LLLLL
18 Monza 11218 1725 -87 LLLLW
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation