Tottenham vs Arsenal prediction

Tottenham
vs
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
Arsenal
58%
Model pickWatch Only
Arsenal win

The model favours Arsenal win at 58%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.

Win probabilities

Tottenham16%
Draw26%
Arsenal58%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals0.73 – 1.67
Both score43%
Over 2.5 goals43%

Match analysis

The model's forecast for an Arsenal win is strongly supported by their top league standing, superior season statistics, and dominant head-to-head record against Tottenham. Tottenham's inconsistent form and weaker goal difference further complicate their prospects despite playing at home.

Tottenham

Tottenham's recent form is inconsistent, showing more losses and draws than wins in their last six matches. Their season record is balanced with three wins, three draws, and three losses.

Arsenal

Arsenal is in excellent form, having won eight of their nine league matches this season. They have a strong attacking record and a very solid defense, conceding only five goals.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-02-22Tottenham1–4Arsenal
  • 2025-11-23Arsenal4–1Tottenham
  • 2025-07-31Arsenal0–1Tottenham
  • 2025-01-15Arsenal2–1Tottenham
  • 2024-09-15Tottenham0–1Arsenal

Form & table

Arsenal1st, 24 ptsWWWWL
Tottenham10th, 12 ptsLWWWD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 9801 145 +924 WWWWL
2 Manchester City 9702 2010 +1021 LLWWW
3 Brighton 9612 247 +1719 WLWWW
4 Chelsea 9513 1915 +416 WLWWL
5 Everton 10442 1210 +216 WWLLD
6 Liverpool 9432 119 +215 LWWLW
7 Brentford 9351 169 +714 WDLDW
8 Leeds 10352 108 +214 WLDDL
9 Bournemouth 9333 1413 +112 WWWLL
10 Tottenham 10334 1011 -112 LWWWD
11 Aston Villa 9333 1013 -312 DWWDW
12 Hull City 9252 1110 +111 DDLDL
13 Newcastle 9324 1215 -311 LWLLW
14 Ipswich 9324 1418 -411 DDLWL
15 Fulham 9234 911 -29 DWWLD
16 Coventry 10307 1019 -99 LWLLW
17 Manchester United 9144 1015 -57 LLDDD
18 Crystal Palace 9216 921 -127 LLLWD
19 Nottingham Forest 9135 612 -66 LDLLL
20 Sunderland 9126 717 -105 LDLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation