Toulouse vs Rennes prediction
Toulouse
RennesThe model favours Toulouse win at 43%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts a Toulouse win, which is supported by their recent head-to-head record against Rennes (3 wins, 1 draw in last 5). While Rennes has a higher league standing and scoring average, Toulouse's slightly better defensive record and the model's expected goals also lean towards a home victory.
ToulouseToulouse's recent form is inconsistent, with an equal number of wins, draws, and losses over their last 10 matches. They average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game.
RennesRennes displays stronger recent form with five wins in their last nine games, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-02-28Rennes1–0Toulouse
- 2025-10-29Toulouse2–2Rennes
- 2025-05-03Toulouse2–1Rennes
- 2024-11-10Rennes0–2Toulouse
- 2024-04-13Rennes1–2Toulouse
Form & table
Rennes5th, 16 ptsLWLWLToulouse10th, 13 ptsWLDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain |
10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |  Paris FC |
10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Lille |
9 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lyon |
9 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes |
9 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille |
9 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco |
9 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice |
9 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens |
9 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Toulouse |
10 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 |
9 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |  Lorient |
9 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg |
10 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre |
10 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers |
9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes |
10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans |
9 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre |
9 | -11 | 2 |