VfB Stuttgart vs Lille prediction

VfB Stuttgart

Wed 9 Dec, 20:00 UTC MHPArena, Stuttgart

Lille

50%

Model pickNo Pick

VfB Stuttgart win

The model favours VfB Stuttgart win at 50%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

VfB Stuttgart50%

Draw26%

Lille24%

Likely score1-0

Expected goals1.63 – 1.11

Both score55%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Match analysis

VfB Stuttgart's strong league position, superior recent form, and better goal difference statistics strongly support the forecast of a home win. Lille's struggles, including no wins and a high number of goals conceded, further align with this prediction. The limited number of matches played by both teams introduces some uncertainty.

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart enters this match in good form, having won two of their last four games and drawing one, demonstrating consistent performance.

Lille

Lille is in very poor form, having failed to win any of their four matches, with three losses and one draw, and conceding a high number of goals.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Form & table

VfB Stuttgart14th, 7 ptsLDWW

Lille35th, 1 ptsDLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	4	4	0	0	20	5	+15	12	WWWW
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	13	7	+6	12	WWWW
3	Arsenal	4	3	1	0	8	3	+5	10	WDWW
4	Como	4	3	0	1	19	6	+13	9	WWLW
5	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	14	6	+8	9	WLWW
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	12	6	+6	9	LWWW
7	Manchester City	4	3	0	1	12	7	+5	9	WWLW
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	14	10	+4	9	LWWW
9	Club Brugge KV	4	3	0	1	11	7	+4	9	WWWL
10	Sporting CP	4	3	0	1	8	4	+4	9	WLWW
11	Real Betis	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9	LWWW
12	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	0	1	7	5	+2	9	WWLW
13	Bayern München	4	2	2	0	12	5	+7	8	WDDW
14	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	1	1	7	4	+3	7	LDWW
15	Inter	4	2	0	2	8	6	+2	6	WWLL
16	Lask Linz	4	2	0	2	10	9	+1	6	WWLL
17	Manchester United	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6	WLLW
18	Galatasaray	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6	WWLL
19	Fenerbahçe	4	1	2	1	6	11	-5	5	WDLD
20	AS Roma	4	1	1	2	10	8	+2	4	LWLD
21	Shakhtar Donetsk	4	1	1	2	4	4	0	4	LLWD
22	Viking	4	1	1	2	9	10	-1	4	WLDL
23	Atletico Madrid	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LDWL
24	PSV Eindhoven	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1	4	LWLD
25	Bodo/Glimt	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DLWL
26	FC Porto	4	1	0	3	6	7	-1	3	WLLL
27	Napoli	4	1	0	3	6	11	-5	3	LWLL
28	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	8	14	-6	3	LLWL
29	AEK Athens FC	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
30	RB Leipzig	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLWL
31	Sabah FA	4	1	0	3	4	10	-6	3	LLWL
32	Feyenoord	4	1	0	3	4	11	-7	3	LLWL
33	Lens	4	1	0	3	4	16	-12	3	LLLW
34	Slavia Praha	4	0	1	3	5	9	-4	1	LDLL
35	Lille	4	0	1	3	4	10	-6	1	DLLL
36	Slovan Bratislava	4	0	0	4	1	17	-16	0	LLLL

Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation

Why this call

Confidenceneeds 58%+
50%
Lead over next resultneeds 12%+
23%
Draw riskmax 30%
26%
Model edgeneeds 0.52+
0.36

A Recommended Pick must pass all four. This match is No Pick. Goals estimate: Team strength model.

Pick timeline

Prediction madeMon 9 Nov, 00:47 UTC
Locks 12 hours before kickoffCan still be refreshed until then
KickoffWed 9 Dec, 20:00 UTC
Graded automaticallyFrom the confirmed final score

Model dc-ratings-v2 · strategy_v1.4