Back to Analysis Weekly Report · 09 Nov 2026

UTABIRI Weekly Model Report — 2026-11-09

Last week: 36/59 correct (61.0% verified accuracy). Recommended Picks went 7/8. This week: 57 upcoming predictions (20 Recommended, 15 Watch-Only).

61.0%Verified Accuracy
59Settled Matches
20Recommended Next
15Watch-Only Next

Week in Review

UTABIRI concluded the week ending 2026-11-09 with a verified record of 36 correct predictions out of 59, achieving an accuracy of 61.0%. This represents a solid performance across the board, with particular strength observed in our highest confidence selections.

Key correct calls included Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, AS Roma, and Philadelphia Union, all identified as Recommended Picks. The model also accurately predicted away wins for Bayern München, Parma, Valencia, and Liverpool in Watch-Only categories. However, there were notable misses, such as predicting home wins for Malaga, Nottingham Forest, and Sunderland, which resulted in away wins or draws. Similarly, draws for Torino, SC Paderborn 07, and Inter Miami were incorrectly predicted as home wins.

Match Results Breakdown

DateMatchScorePredictedActualResult
2026-11-07Malaga vs Racing SantanderLa Liga1-2HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-07Cagliari vs FrosinoneSerie A1-0AwayHomeWrong
2026-11-07Torino vs LecceSerie A1-1HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-07FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern MünchenBundesliga1-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07Borussia Dortmund vs SV ElversbergBundesliga2-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07RB Leipzig vs FC AugsburgBundesliga5-2HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga2-2HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-07Fulham vs NewcastlePremier League1-1HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-07Arsenal vs Hull CityPremier League1-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07North Korea U17 W vs Brazil U17 WWorld Cup U17 - Women6-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07Espanyol vs Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga0-0AwayDrawWrong
2026-11-07Parma vs BolognaSerie A1-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07Nottingham Forest vs Manchester CityPremier League3-1AwayHomeWrong
2026-11-07Osasuna vs Athletic ClubLa Liga1-1HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-07VfB Stuttgart vs Werder BremenBundesliga1-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07Auxerre vs Paris FCLigue 10-1HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-07Japan U17 W vs Nigeria U17 WWorld Cup U17 - Women1-2HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-07AS Roma vs SassuoloSerie A3-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07Valencia vs Real MadridLa Liga0-3AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07Paris Saint Germain vs Estac TroyesLigue 11-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07Orlando City SC vs New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer1-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FCMajor League Soccer4-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-07New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer3-0AwayHomeWrong
2026-11-07Chicago Fire vs Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer3-4AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07CF Montreal vs Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer0-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07DC United vs New York City FCMajor League Soccer0-1AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SCMajor League Soccer0-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-07Inter Miami vs CharlotteMajor League Soccer3-3HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-08Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer2-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08FC Dallas vs Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer3-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer0-1HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-08Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer2-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Minnesota United FC vs San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer3-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Austin vs Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer0-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08San Diego vs Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer0-1HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-08Napoli vs LazioSerie A1-1HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-08Elche vs Real BetisLa Liga0-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Brighton vs BrentfordPremier League2-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Crystal Palace vs LiverpoolPremier League1-3AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Ipswich vs BournemouthPremier League1-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Sunderland vs ChelseaPremier League1-0AwayHomeWrong
2026-11-08Genoa vs AC MilanSerie A1-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Monza vs AtalantaSerie A0-1AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Rennes vs LilleLigue 11-2HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-081. FC Köln vs Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga1-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Real Sociedad vs Rayo VallecanoLa Liga1-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Angers vs NiceLigue 10-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Stade Brestois 29 vs LyonLigue 12-0AwayHomeWrong
2026-11-08Le Havre vs LorientLigue 10-2AwayAwayCorrect
2026-11-08Le Mans vs MonacoLigue 11-1AwayDrawWrong
2026-11-08Manchester United vs Aston VillaPremier League4-4HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-08SC Freiburg vs Union BerlinBundesliga2-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Inter vs ComoSerie A2-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Villarreal vs GetafeLa Liga2-0HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Celta Vigo vs LevanteLa Liga0-0HomeDrawWrong
2026-11-081899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga2-1HomeHomeCorrect
2026-11-08Fiorentina vs JuventusSerie A2-2AwayDrawWrong
2026-11-08Lens vs MarseilleLigue 11-2HomeAwayWrong
2026-11-08Atletico Madrid vs BarcelonaLa Liga1-2AwayAwayCorrect

League Performance

CompetitionSettledCorrectAccuracy
Major League Soccer151173.3%
La Liga9555.6%
Serie A9555.6%
Bundesliga8787.5%
Premier League8450.0%
Ligue 18337.5%
World Cup U17 - Women2150.0%

Performance varied across leagues this week. The Bundesliga stood out with an excellent 87.5% accuracy (7/8), closely followed by Major League Soccer at 73.3% (11/15). La Liga and Serie A both registered 55.6% accuracy (5/9). The Premier League saw a 50.0% success rate (4/8), while Ligue 1 was the weakest performer at 37.5% (3/8). The World Cup U17 - Women category had a 50.0% accuracy (1/2), though this was based on a very small sample size.

Decision Category Performance

  • Recommended Picks: 7/8 (87.5%)
  • Watch-Only: 16/22 (72.7%)

Our decision categories showed a clear hierarchy of confidence. Recommended Picks demonstrated exceptional accuracy, converting 7 out of 8 selections for an 87.5% success rate. Watch-Only picks also performed strongly, with 16 correct predictions from 22, equating to 72.7%. The No-Pick category, representing matches where the model had lower confidence, recorded 13 correct predictions out of 29, or 44.8%.

Upcoming Week Preview

Looking ahead to the next seven days, UTABIRI has issued 57 predictions, comprising 20 Recommended Picks, 15 Watch-Only selections, and 22 No-Pick matches. The upcoming schedule features a strong focus on international fixtures, including UEFA Nations League and International Friendlies. Several Recommended Picks show high confidence levels, such as Finland vs San Marino (93.0%), Singapore vs Paraguay (88.2%), and Vietnam vs Chinese Taipei (86.5%), indicating the model's strong conviction in these outcomes.

Model Health Note

The model's health remains robust, particularly evidenced by the high accuracy of its Recommended Picks. While overall performance was solid at 61.0%, the disparity across leagues and decision categories highlights areas for continuous refinement. The strong performance in Bundesliga and MLS, contrasted with lower rates in Ligue 1 and Premier League, suggests that further analysis into specific league dynamics could enhance future predictions. The model continues to effectively differentiate between high and low-confidence scenarios, as reflected in the varying success rates across pick types.

Tables are generated directly from the database. Commentary is written by AI from those figures.

Responsible useNo statistical model can predict sports outcomes with certainty. Individual match variance remains high, so treat every number here as information, not a promise.