Finland vs San Marino prediction

Finland
vs
San Marino
93%
Model pickRecommended Pick
Finland win

The model favours Finland win at 93%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Finland93%
Draw6%
San Marino1%
Likely score3-0
Expected goals3.79 – 0.34
Both score29%
Over 2.5 goals78%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Finland win is strongly supported by San Marino's dire league form and their significant struggles in scoring goals while conceding many. Finland's dominant head-to-head record and strong season stats further reinforce this prediction.

Finland

Finland enters the match in good form, with two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four games. They have shown strong attacking capabilities, averaging 2.3 goals per match, and a solid defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per match.

San Marino

San Marino is in very poor form, having lost all four of their recent matches. They have struggled significantly in attack, scoring only one goal, and have a highly porous defense, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-26San Marino0–7Finland
  • 2023-11-20San Marino1–2Finland
  • 2023-06-19Finland6–0San Marino

Form & table

Finland3rd, 7 ptsLWDW
San Marino4th, 0 ptsLLLL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Albania 4301 83 +59 WLWW
2 Belarus 4211 52 +37 WWDL
3 Finland 4211 92 +77 LWDW
4 San Marino 4004 116 -150 LLLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation