Arsenal vs Bournemouth prediction
Arsenal
BournemouthThe model favours Arsenal win at 64%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
Arsenal's strong league position, excellent season record, and superior recent form align with the forecast for a home victory. The model's expected goals also reflect Arsenal's defensive strength, though recent head-to-head results show Bournemouth has historically complicated matches for Arsenal.
ArsenalArsenal is in formidable form, having won nine of their last ten matches and demonstrating a strong defensive record with only five goals conceded this season. They have kept seven clean sheets in ten games.
BournemouthBournemouth's recent form is inconsistent, with four wins, three draws, and three losses in their last ten matches. They have scored a decent number of goals but have also conceded frequently, averaging 1.4 goals against per match.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-04-11Arsenal1–2Bournemouth
- 2026-01-03Bournemouth2–3Arsenal
- 2025-05-03Arsenal1–2Bournemouth
- 2024-10-19Bournemouth2–0Arsenal
- 2024-07-25Arsenal1–1Bournemouth
Form & table
Arsenal1st, 27 ptsWWWWWBournemouth7th, 15 ptsWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton |
10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City |
10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool |
10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth |
10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford |
10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds |
10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa |
10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham |
10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle |
10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City |
10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich |
10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham |
10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry |
10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland |
10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace |
10 | -14 | 7 |