Aston Villa vs Everton prediction
Aston Villa
EvertonThe model favours Aston Villa win at 51%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The model forecasts an Aston Villa win, strongly supported by their higher expected goals of 1.53 compared to Everton's 0.93. This prediction is complicated by Everton's superior league standing and a slightly better head-to-head record in recent encounters. Aston Villa's higher average goals conceded also presents a challenge to their forecasted victory.
Aston VillaAston Villa's recent form is mixed, with three wins, three draws, and three losses in nine matches. They average 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game.
EvertonEverton shows stronger league form, with four wins, four draws, and two losses in ten matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded, indicating a solid defensive record.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-01-18Aston Villa0–1Everton
- 2025-09-13Everton0–0Aston Villa
- 2025-01-15Everton0–1Aston Villa
- 2024-09-14Aston Villa3–2Everton
- 2024-01-14Everton0–0Aston Villa
Form & table
Everton6th, 16 ptsWWLLDAston Villa10th, 13 ptsDDWWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton |
10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City |
10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool |
10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth |
10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford |
10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds |
10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa |
10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham |
10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle |
10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City |
10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich |
10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham |
10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry |
10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland |
10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace |
10 | -14 | 7 |