Atletico Madrid vs Valencia prediction

Atletico Madrid
vs
Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid
Valencia
71%
Model pickRecommended Pick
Atletico Madrid win

The model favours Atletico Madrid win at 71%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Atletico Madrid71%
Draw20%
Valencia10%
Likely score2-0
Expected goals2.12 – 0.67
Both score44%
Over 2.5 goals53%

Match analysis

The model's forecast of an Atletico Madrid win is strongly supported by their superior league position, excellent season statistics, and dominant head-to-head record against Valencia. Atletico Madrid has won all of the last five encounters, often with clean sheets, while Valencia struggles with both scoring and conceding goals this season. There is no data provided that complicates this forecast.

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is in strong form, having won 9 of their 12 matches this season, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per match and conceding only 0.8. Their recent form shows only one loss in their last 12 games.

Valencia

Valencia is in very poor form, with only 2 wins and 7 losses in 12 matches, scoring a low average of 0.7 goals per game and conceding 1.7. They have failed to score in half of their matches this season.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Valencia0–2Atletico Madrid
  • 2025-12-13Atletico Madrid2–1Valencia
  • 2025-02-22Valencia0–3Atletico Madrid
  • 2024-09-15Atletico Madrid3–0Valencia
  • 2024-01-28Atletico Madrid2–0Valencia

Form & table

Atletico Madrid3rd, 28 ptsLWWWW
Valencia19th, 9 ptsLWLDD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 121101 4813 +3533 WWLWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 2310 +1328 LWWWW
4 Real Betis 12822 2015 +526 WWDLW
5 Real Sociedad 12714 2120 +122 WLWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Villarreal 12435 1715 +215 WLWDL
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
10 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
11 Celta Vigo 12273 1010 013 DLDWD
12 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 1521 -612 LWLDD
15 Getafe 12336 818 -1012 LWLDL
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Levante 12255 1621 -511 DLLWD
18 Elche 12246 1420 -610 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation