Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction

Real Madrid
vs
Celta Vigo
74%
Model pickRecommended Pick
Real Madrid win

The model favours Real Madrid win at 74%. It clears every threshold, so it is a Recommended Pick.

Win probabilities

Real Madrid74%
Draw17%
Celta Vigo9%
Likely score2-0
Expected goals2.46 – 0.77
Both score50%
Over 2.5 goals63%

Match analysis

Real Madrid's strong league position, superior goal-scoring record, and excellent season form heavily support the forecast for a home win. While Celta Vigo secured a 2-0 away win against Real Madrid in a recent head-to-head match, their overall season performance and poor scoring average suggest a challenging fixture for them.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid is in excellent form, winning 9 of their 11 league matches and scoring an average of 2.5 goals per game. Their recent form shows consistent victories with only a couple of losses.

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo's form has been inconsistent, with many draws and only two wins in 11 matches. They struggle to score, averaging just 0.9 goals per game, and have failed to score in over half their matches.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-06Celta Vigo1–2Real Madrid
  • 2025-12-07Real Madrid0–2Celta Vigo
  • 2025-05-04Real Madrid3–2Celta Vigo
  • 2025-01-16Real Madrid5–2Celta Vigo
  • 2024-10-19Celta Vigo1–2Real Madrid

Form & table

Real Madrid2nd, 30 ptsWWWWW
Celta Vigo11th, 13 ptsDLDWD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 111001 4612 +3430 WLWWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 11911 228 +1428 WWWWW
4 Real Betis 12822 2015 +526 WWDLW
5 Real Sociedad 12714 2120 +122 WLWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Villarreal 12435 1715 +215 WLWDL
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
10 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
11 Celta Vigo 12273 1010 013 DLDWD
12 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 1521 -612 LWLDD
15 Getafe 12336 818 -1012 LWLDL
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Levante 12255 1621 -511 DLLWD
18 Elche 12246 1420 -610 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation