Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund prediction

Win probabilities

Match analysis

The forecast for a Borussia Dortmund win is strongly supported by their superior league standing, undefeated season form, and significantly better goals scored and conceded statistics compared to Borussia Mönchengladbach. While Gladbach won their last head-to-head, Dortmund has generally dominated recent encounters and shows much stronger current form. The model's expected goals further indicate a likely Dortmund victory.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach is in very poor form, having lost 7 of their 9 matches and sitting at the bottom of the league table. They concede an average of 2.8 goals per match, indicating significant defensive struggles.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund is in excellent form, remaining undefeated after 8 matches and currently ranked 2nd in the league. They boast a strong defense, conceding only 0.8 goals per match and keeping 5 clean sheets.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

• 2026-05-03Borussia Mönchengladbach1–0Borussia Dortmund
• 2025-12-19Borussia Dortmund2–0Borussia Mönchengladbach
• 2025-04-20Borussia Dortmund3–2Borussia Mönchengladbach
• 2024-12-07Borussia Mönchengladbach1–1Borussia Dortmund
• 2024-04-13Borussia Monchengladbach1–2Borussia Dortmund