Brighton vs Newcastle prediction
Brighton
NewcastleThe model favours Brighton win at 54%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
Brighton's superior league standing, strong goal-scoring record, and tight defense strongly support the forecast for a home win. While Newcastle won the most recent head-to-head, Brighton's overall season form and expected goals further reinforce their favored status. The model predicts Brighton to score 1.83 goals compared to Newcastle's 1.15.
BrightonBrighton is in excellent form, sitting 3rd in the league with 19 points, and has a strong recent record of WLDWWWWLW. They boast an impressive scoring average of 2.7 goals per match while conceding only 0.8.
NewcastleNewcastle is currently 13th in the league with 11 points, displaying inconsistent form with a recent record of DWDLWLLWL. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per match while conceding 1.7.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Newcastle3–1Brighton
- 2025-10-18Brighton2–1Newcastle
- 2025-05-04Brighton1–1Newcastle
- 2025-03-02Newcastle1–2Brighton
- 2024-10-19Newcastle0–1Brighton
Form & table
Brighton3rd, 19 ptsWLWWWNewcastle11th, 12 ptsDLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
10 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton |
9 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea |
9 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool |
9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford |
9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |  Leeds |
10 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bournemouth |
9 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Tottenham |
10 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Newcastle |
10 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa |
9 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City |
10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich |
9 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham |
10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry |
10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
9 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |  Crystal Palace |
9 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |  Sunderland |
9 | -10 | 5 |