Coventry vs Aston Villa prediction
Coventry
Aston VillaThe model favours Aston Villa win at 51%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for an Aston Villa win is supported by their superior league standing, better overall season form, and a recent head-to-head victory. Aston Villa also has higher expected goals compared to Coventry. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with Aston Villa's win probability at 51% against Coventry's 24% and a draw at 24%.
CoventryCoventry's season form is poor, with 7 losses and 3 wins from 10 matches, and they have failed to score in half of their games. Their recent form shows a pattern of losses.
Aston VillaAston Villa has a mixed season form with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in 10 matches. They have scored more goals and conceded fewer than Coventry on average.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-09-16Coventry1–3Aston Villa
Form & table
Aston Villa10th, 13 ptsDDWWDCoventry17th, 9 ptsLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton |
10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City |
10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |  Liverpool |
10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth |
10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford |
10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Leeds |
10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa |
10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham |
10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle |
10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City |
10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich |
10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham |
10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry |
10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland |
10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace |
10 | -14 | 7 |