Crystal Palace vs Manchester United prediction

Crystal Palace
vs
Selhurst Park, London
Manchester United
40%
Model pickNo Pick
Manchester United win

The model favours Manchester United win at 40%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Crystal Palace34%
Draw26%
Manchester United40%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.42 – 1.61
Both score61%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Match analysis

The forecast for a Manchester United win is supported by their slightly better season goal difference and recent head-to-head record against Crystal Palace. However, both teams are in the relegation zone with poor form, and the close probabilities suggest a highly competitive match. The expected goals also marginally favor Manchester United, aligning with the predicted outcome.

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace is currently at the bottom of the league, ranking 20th with only 7 points. Their recent form is poor, with 7 losses in 10 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per match while conceding 2.4.

Manchester United

Manchester United is ranked 18th with 8 points, showing only one win in their last ten matches. While they struggle for wins, they have drawn five matches, indicating some resilience but also an inability to close out games.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-03-01Manchester United2–1Crystal Palace
  • 2025-11-30Crystal Palace1–2Manchester United
  • 2025-02-02Manchester United0–2Crystal Palace
  • 2024-09-21Crystal Palace0–0Manchester United
  • 2024-05-06Crystal Palace4–0Manchester United

Form & table

Manchester United18th, 8 ptsDLLDD
Crystal Palace20th, 7 ptsLLLLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 10901 155 +1027 WWWWW
2 Brighton 10712 267 +1922 WWLWW
3 Manchester City 10703 2113 +821 LLLWW
4 Liverpool 10532 1410 +418 WLWWL
5 Chelsea 10514 1916 +316 LWLWW
6 Everton 10442 1210 +216 WWLLD
7 Bournemouth 10433 1614 +215 WWWWL
8 Brentford 10352 1611 +514 LWDLD
9 Leeds 10352 108 +214 WLDDL
10 Aston Villa 10343 1417 -313 DDWWD
11 Tottenham 10334 1011 -112 LWWWD
12 Newcastle 10334 1316 -312 DLWLL
13 Hull City 10253 1111 011 LDDLD
14 Ipswich 10325 1520 -511 LDDLW
15 Fulham 10244 1012 -210 DDWWL
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 913 -49 WLDLL
17 Coventry 10307 1019 -99 LWLLW
18 Manchester United 10154 1419 -58 DLLDD
19 Sunderland 10226 817 -98 WLDLL
20 Crystal Palace 10217 1024 -147 LLLLW
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation