Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction

Cyprus
vs
Montenegro
37%
Model pickNo Pick
Cyprus win

The model favours Cyprus win at 37%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Cyprus37%
Draw26%
Montenegro36%
Likely score2-1
Expected goals1.37 – 1.45
Both score58%
Over 2.5 goals54%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a narrow Cyprus win with a 37% probability, despite Montenegro's superior league standing, unbeaten season record, and dominant head-to-head history. The expected goals also slightly favor Montenegro, indicating a highly competitive match where the outcome is finely balanced.

Cyprus

Cyprus has shown mixed form recently with two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last four matches. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per match while conceding 0.8.

Montenegro

Montenegro is in strong form, remaining unbeaten with three wins and one draw in their last four games. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored per match and conceded 1.0.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-25Montenegro2–1Cyprus
  • 2020-11-17Montenegro4–0Cyprus
  • 2020-09-05Cyprus0–2Montenegro
  • 2018-03-23Cyprus0–0Montenegro

Form & table

Montenegro1st, 10 ptsDWWW
Cyprus2nd, 7 ptsWWDL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Montenegro 4310 74 +310 DWWW
2 Cyprus 4211 53 +27 WWDL
3 Armenia 4112 45 -14 DLLW
4 Latvia 4013 26 -41 LLDL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation