Deportivo La Coruna vs Athletic Club prediction

Deportivo La Coruna
vs
Estadio Municipal de Riazor
Athletic Club
38%
Model pickNo Pick
Athletic Club win

The model favours Athletic Club win at 38%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Deportivo La Coruna32%
Draw30%
Athletic Club38%
Likely score0-1
Expected goals1.06 – 1.24
Both score47%
Over 2.5 goals41%

Match analysis

The forecast for an Athletic Club win is supported by their slightly better league position, superior goal difference, and stronger defensive record with more clean sheets. While Deportivo La Coruna plays at home, the head-to-head record also leans towards Athletic Club in recent encounters. The expected goals further suggest Athletic Club has a higher offensive output in this matchup.

Deportivo La Coruna

Deportivo La Coruna has a mixed season record with an equal number of wins and losses, alongside a high proportion of draws. Their scoring and conceding rates are closely matched.

Athletic Club

Athletic Club has a slightly stronger season record with more wins than losses, and a notably better defensive performance with fewer goals conceded and more clean sheets. Their form has been somewhat inconsistent but includes more positive results.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2018-04-14Athletic Club2–3Deportivo La Coruna
  • 2017-11-26Deportivo La Coruna2–2Athletic Club
  • 2017-02-11Athletic Club2–1Deportivo La Coruna
  • 2016-09-11Deportivo La Coruna0–1Athletic Club
  • 2016-03-02Athletic Club4–1Deportivo La Coruna

Form & table

Athletic Club7th, 16 ptsDWWLD
Deportivo La Coruna9th, 15 ptsDWLDL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 121101 4813 +3533 WWLWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 2310 +1328 LWWWW
4 Real Betis 12822 2015 +526 WWDLW
5 Real Sociedad 12714 2120 +122 WLWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Villarreal 12435 1715 +215 WLWDL
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
10 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
11 Celta Vigo 12273 1010 013 DLDWD
12 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 1521 -612 LWLDD
15 Getafe 12336 818 -1012 LWLDL
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Levante 12255 1621 -511 DLLWD
18 Elche 12246 1420 -610 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation