Elche vs Sevilla prediction

Elche
vs
Sevilla
43%
Model pickNo Pick
Elche win

The model favours Elche win at 43%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Elche43%
Draw28%
Sevilla29%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.44 – 1.18
Both score54%
Over 2.5 goals49%

Match analysis

The model forecasts an Elche win with higher expected goals, which is notable given their significantly lower league standing and poorer overall season form compared to Sevilla. The recent head-to-head record also complicates this forecast, as Sevilla has generally performed better in past encounters.

Elche

Elche's recent form is poor, with only two wins in their last twelve matches across all competitions. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match this season.

Sevilla

Sevilla's form has been inconsistent but generally better than Elche's, securing five wins in twelve league matches. They have a slightly positive goal difference, scoring 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.6.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-01-19Elche2–2Sevilla
  • 2025-09-12Sevilla2–2Elche
  • 2023-05-24Elche1–1Sevilla
  • 2023-01-28Sevilla3–0Elche
  • 2022-02-11Sevilla2–0Elche

Form & table

Sevilla6th, 18 ptsDLWLD
Elche18th, 10 ptsLLWDD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 121101 4813 +3533 WWLWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 2310 +1328 LWWWW
4 Real Betis 12822 2015 +526 WWDLW
5 Real Sociedad 12714 2120 +122 WLWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Villarreal 12435 1715 +215 WLWDL
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
10 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
11 Celta Vigo 12273 1010 013 DLDWD
12 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 1521 -612 LWLDD
15 Getafe 12336 818 -1012 LWLDL
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Levante 12255 1621 -511 DLLWD
18 Elche 12246 1420 -610 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation