Espanyol vs Celta Vigo prediction

Espanyol
vs
RCDE Stadium, Cornella de Llobregat
Celta Vigo
37%
Model pickNo Pick
Espanyol win

The model favours Espanyol win at 37%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Espanyol37%
Draw31%
Celta Vigo32%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals1.11 – 1.07
Both score45%
Over 2.5 goals37%

Match analysis

The model forecasts an Espanyol win, supported by their slightly higher goal-scoring average and a favorable recent head-to-head record. However, Celta Vigo's strong defensive record and high number of draws complicate a clear prediction, leading to very close probabilities for all three outcomes. The expected goals also indicate a tightly contested match.

Espanyol

Espanyol's season form is inconsistent, marked by more losses than wins, though they maintain a moderate scoring rate. Their recent results show a mixed bag of outcomes.

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo's form is characterized by a high number of draws and a solid defense, reflected in their low goals conceded and many clean sheets. However, they frequently struggle to score goals, failing to do so in over half their matches.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-02-14Espanyol2–2Celta Vigo
  • 2025-11-30Celta Vigo0–1Espanyol
  • 2025-04-12Celta Vigo0–2Espanyol
  • 2024-11-30Espanyol3–1Celta Vigo
  • 2023-03-18Espanyol1–3Celta Vigo

Form & table

Celta Vigo11th, 13 ptsDLDWD
Espanyol13th, 12 ptsDWLLD
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Barcelona 121101 4813 +3533 WWLWW
2 Real Madrid 121002 3110 +2130 WWWWW
3 Atletico Madrid 12912 2310 +1328 LWWWW
4 Real Betis 12822 2015 +526 WWDLW
5 Real Sociedad 12714 2120 +122 WLWWW
6 Sevilla 12534 1719 -218 DLWLD
7 Athletic Club 11443 1511 +416 DWWLD
8 Villarreal 12435 1715 +215 WLWDL
9 Deportivo La Coruna 12363 1514 +115 DWLDL
10 Racing Santander 12426 1730 -1314 WLWLD
11 Celta Vigo 12273 1010 013 DLDWD
12 Alaves 12345 1517 -213 DLDLL
13 Espanyol 12336 1314 -112 DWLLD
14 Rayo Vallecano 11335 1521 -612 LWLDD
15 Getafe 12336 818 -1012 LWLDL
16 Osasuna 12336 1223 -1112 DLLWL
17 Levante 12255 1621 -511 DLLWD
18 Elche 12246 1420 -610 LLWDD
19 Valencia 12237 820 -129 LWLDD
20 Malaga 12057 923 -145 LLDLD
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation