Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction

Estonia
vs
Bulgaria
40%
Model pickNo Pick
Estonia win

The model favours Estonia win at 40%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Estonia40%
Draw33%
Bulgaria27%
Likely score1-0
Expected goals0.98 – 0.79
Both score35%
Over 2.5 goals26%

Match analysis

Estonia's unbeaten league form and strong defensive record, conceding only one goal in four matches, support the forecast for a home win. However, their low scoring rate and the recent goalless draw against Bulgaria suggest a potentially tight encounter, complicating a clear victory.

Estonia

Estonia is unbeaten in the league with a form of DDWD, showcasing a strong defense with three clean sheets. They have struggled offensively, scoring only 0.5 goals per match.

Bulgaria

Bulgaria's form is inconsistent (LDLW), with one win, one draw, and two losses in four matches. They average 0.8 goals scored per match but have conceded 1.3 goals per match.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2026-09-29Bulgaria0–0Estonia

Form & table

Estonia2nd, 6 ptsDWDD
Bulgaria3rd, 4 ptsWLDL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Iceland 4220 71 +68 DWWD
2 Estonia 4130 21 +16 DWDD
3 Bulgaria 4112 35 -24 WLDL
4 Luxembourg 4103 27 -53 LLLW
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation