Ipswich vs Newcastle prediction

Ipswich
vs
Portman Road, Ipswich
Newcastle
48%
Model pickNo Pick
Newcastle win

The model favours Newcastle win at 48%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Ipswich28%
Draw24%
Newcastle48%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.36 – 1.91
Both score64%
Over 2.5 goals64%

Match analysis

The model forecasts a Newcastle win, which is supported by their dominant head-to-head record against Ipswich, including two recent clean sheet victories. Newcastle also has a slightly better defensive record this season, conceding fewer goals per match than Ipswich. However, Ipswich has scored more goals per match this season, and both teams have shown inconsistent form.

Ipswich

Ipswich's recent form is inconsistent with three wins, two draws, and five losses in their last ten matches. They have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet this season.

Newcastle

Newcastle's form is also mixed, with three wins, three draws, and four losses in their last ten games. They have a slightly better defensive record than Ipswich, conceding 1.6 goals per match and keeping two clean sheets.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2025-04-26Newcastle3–0Ipswich
  • 2024-12-21Ipswich0–4Newcastle
  • 2017-04-17Ipswich3–1Newcastle
  • 2016-10-22Newcastle3–0Ipswich

Form & table

Newcastle12th, 12 ptsDLWLL
Ipswich14th, 11 ptsLDDLW
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 10901 155 +1027 WWWWW
2 Brighton 10712 267 +1922 WWLWW
3 Manchester City 10703 2113 +821 LLLWW
4 Liverpool 10532 1410 +418 WLWWL
5 Chelsea 10514 1916 +316 LWLWW
6 Everton 10442 1210 +216 WWLLD
7 Bournemouth 10433 1614 +215 WWWWL
8 Brentford 10352 1611 +514 LWDLD
9 Leeds 10352 108 +214 WLDDL
10 Aston Villa 10343 1417 -313 DDWWD
11 Tottenham 10334 1011 -112 LWWWD
12 Newcastle 10334 1316 -312 DLWLL
13 Hull City 10253 1111 011 LDDLD
14 Ipswich 10325 1520 -511 LDDLW
15 Fulham 10244 1012 -210 DDWWL
16 Nottingham Forest 10235 913 -49 WLDLL
17 Coventry 10307 1019 -99 LWLLW
18 Manchester United 10154 1419 -58 DLLDD
19 Sunderland 10226 817 -98 WLDLL
20 Crystal Palace 10217 1024 -147 LLLLW
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation