Liverpool vs Leeds prediction
Liverpool
LeedsThe model favours Liverpool win at 55%. There is a signal, but it falls short of a recommendation, so it is Watch Only.
Win probabilities
Match analysis
The forecast for a Liverpool win is supported by their higher league standing and superior season win record and goal-scoring average. However, the head-to-head record significantly complicates this prediction, as Leeds has secured two wins and two draws in the last five encounters against Liverpool, including two wins at Anfield.
LiverpoolLiverpool's recent form is mixed, with five wins, three draws, and two losses in their last ten matches. They average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded per match this season.
LeedsLeeds has shown a tendency for draws, with five in their last ten matches, alongside three wins and two losses. They average 1.0 goal scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match.
Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.
Head to head
- 2026-08-02Liverpool2–4Leeds
- 2026-01-01Liverpool0–0Leeds
- 2025-12-06Leeds3–3Liverpool
- 2023-04-17Leeds1–6Liverpool
- 2022-10-29Liverpool1–2Leeds
Form & table
Liverpool4th, 18 ptsWLWWLLeeds9th, 14 ptsWLDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |  Brighton |
10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Manchester City |
10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool |
10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Everton |
10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth |
10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Brentford |
10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds |
10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa |
10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Tottenham |
10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Newcastle |
10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City |
10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich |
10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham |
10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry |
10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United |
10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sunderland |
10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |  Crystal Palace |
10 | -14 | 7 |