Monza vs Atalanta prediction

Monza
vs
Stadio Brianteo, Monza
Atalanta
49%
Model pickNo Pick
Atalanta win

The model favours Atalanta win at 49%. The numbers are too close to call with conviction, so the model makes No Pick.

Win probabilities

Monza26%
Draw25%
Atalanta49%
Likely score1-2
Expected goals1.06 – 1.92
Both score56%
Over 2.5 goals57%

Includes the betting market's view from 10 bookmakers (29% / 25% / 46%). How this works

Match analysis

The model's forecast for an Atalanta win is strongly supported by their dominant head-to-head record against Monza, winning all five previous encounters. Atalanta also holds a better league position and has a slightly superior overall season record compared to Monza. Monza's high average of 2.4 goals conceded per match further reinforces the prediction.

Monza

Monza's recent form is poor, with only two wins and one draw in their last ten matches across all competitions. They have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game this season.

Atalanta

Atalanta's recent form is mixed, recording three wins and two draws in their last ten games. They have a slightly better defensive record than Monza, conceding 2.0 goals per match on average.

Written by AI from the data on this page. The probabilities come from the statistical model, not the AI.

Head to head

  • 2025-05-04Monza0–4Atalanta
  • 2024-10-30Atalanta2–0Monza
  • 2024-04-21Monza1–2Atalanta
  • 2023-09-02Atalanta3–0Monza
  • 2023-06-04Atalanta5–2Monza

Form & table

Atalanta13th, 11 ptsLDDLW
Monza18th, 7 ptsLLLWL
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Lazio 10910 248 +1628 WWWWW
2 Inter 10811 2613 +1325 LWWWW
3 AS Roma 10730 2810 +1824 WWDWD
4 Como 10721 188 +1023 WWWWD
5 AC Milan 10631 2112 +921 WLWWD
6 Frosinone 11623 2415 +920 LWWDW
7 Juventus 10523 1310 +317 WLWLD
8 Cagliari 11515 1015 -516 WLLLL
9 Napoli 10424 1713 +414 LWDLW
10 Bologna 10424 1413 +114 WWWLW
11 Torino 11425 1517 -214 DLLWW
12 Genoa 10415 1014 -413 WWWLW
13 Atalanta 10325 1620 -411 LDDLW
14 Lecce 11317 1222 -1010 DLLLW
15 Parma 10226 815 -78 WDLLL
16 Fiorentina 10226 1523 -88 WDLLL
17 Sassuolo 10226 1626 -108 LLLLD
18 Monza 10217 1724 -77 LLLWL
19 Venezia 11209 821 -136 WLLLW
20 Udinese 11128 1225 -135 LLDLL
Qualification / promotion Play-off / secondary Relegation